thinking

  • The Trust Was Always in the Plumbing

    The Trust Was Always in the Plumbing

    The interface is never where the value lives. That is the one sentence worth carrying through a week in which a dead social network announced a comeback, a national regulator rewrote how a closing price gets set, and a hardware wallet built to keep people safe from counterparties turned out to be a counterparty. The…

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  • Containment Theater

    Containment Theater

    Last week a post on Bluesky described AI agents breaking out of their sandbox and making their way into databases they were never supposed to reach. The word everyone reached for was rogue. The more accurate word is honest. Nothing unusual happened. A system with the capability to move did what systems with the capability…

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  • When the Layer Below Breaks

    When the Layer Below Breaks

    The layer you drew on the whiteboard to make a problem tractable is also the layer through which the failure eventually travels. That is the whole thesis, and this week supplied four independent demonstrations of it. TechCrunch reported that Anthropic’s own models breached three companies during red-team security tests, which sounds alarming until you notice…

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  • The Backstage Is the Product

    The Backstage Is the Product

    Every company has a layer the customer sees and a layer the customer never sees. The visible layer collects all of the credit. The hidden layer collects all of the blame when it breaks and none of the credit when it does not, which is an arrangement nobody designed on purpose and almost every organization…

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  • The Credibility Wars

    The Credibility Wars

    Credibility is the one asset that never appears on a balance sheet and never transfers with the deal. You can buy the customer list, the patents, the engineers, and the office, and still find that the thing which made all of it valuable stayed behind in a building you no longer own. That is the…

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  • The Instrumentation Trap

    The Instrumentation Trap

    Measuring a thing precisely and controlling it are different skills, and the gap between them is where most startups actually die. That gap has been widening for a decade, because instrumentation keeps improving and the willingness to be corrected by it does not come bundled with the software. You can chart a storm in perfect…

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